Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Busan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
20°C or higher 94%
19°C 4.3%
18°C 3.1%
17°C 2.1%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
94%
20°C or higher 94%
19°C 4.3%
18°C 3.1%
17°C 2.1%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen