MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 13 indicates a high of 19°C amid a few showers and strong northerlies turning gale westerlies in the morning, aligning with trader consensus where 19°C (30.5%), 20°C (29.0%), and 18°C (26.0%) dominate market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in model ensembles, with NIWA projecting a slightly warmer 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while persistent cloud cover from an approaching front and high winds could suppress insolation and cap peaks at 18°C via enhanced vertical mixing. April climatology favors mild autumn highs around 16–17°C baseline, but recent northerly flows have boosted prior days to 20–22°C. Evening updates from MetService may refine probabilities as resolution nears at Wellington Aero station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
19°C 31%
18°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 10.6%
$11,447 Vol.
$11,447 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
28%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 31%
18°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 10.6%
$11,447 Vol.
$11,447 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
28%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 13 indicates a high of 19°C amid a few showers and strong northerlies turning gale westerlies in the morning, aligning with trader consensus where 19°C (30.5%), 20°C (29.0%), and 18°C (26.0%) dominate market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in model ensembles, with NIWA projecting a slightly warmer 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while persistent cloud cover from an approaching front and high winds could suppress insolation and cap peaks at 18°C via enhanced vertical mixing. April climatology favors mild autumn highs around 16–17°C baseline, but recent northerly flows have boosted prior days to 20–22°C. Evening updates from MetService may refine probabilities as resolution nears at Wellington Aero station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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