Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 80°F or higher high temperature in Houston on April 13, with 80% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting peaks of 80-84°F at William P. Hobby Airport under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup features southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air amid light cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, continuing a recent warm spell that saw a record 86°F high earlier this week. Historical April normals hover around 78°F, but above-normal conditions persist per NOAA outlooks. Key uncertainty stems from potential shortwave disturbances triggering isolated thunderstorms, which could cap intensities; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
80°F or higher 81%
78-79°F 8.5%
76-77°F 1.8%
74-75°F 1.7%
$19,863 Vol.
$19,863 Vol.
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
9%
80°F or higher
81%
80°F or higher 81%
78-79°F 8.5%
76-77°F 1.8%
74-75°F 1.7%
$19,863 Vol.
$19,863 Vol.
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
9%
80°F or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 80°F or higher high temperature in Houston on April 13, with 80% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting peaks of 80-84°F at William P. Hobby Airport under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup features southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air amid light cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, continuing a recent warm spell that saw a record 86°F high earlier this week. Historical April normals hover around 78°F, but above-normal conditions persist per NOAA outlooks. Key uncertainty stems from potential shortwave disturbances triggering isolated thunderstorms, which could cap intensities; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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