Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–22°C due to model ensemble spread from sources like ECMWF and GFS. Recent observations over the past week show daytime highs in the low 20s°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, suppressing solar insolation and limiting peaks compared to April averages of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include precipitation probabilities (40–75% across models), which could shave 1–2°C off clear-sky potentials, versus drier scenarios favoring 22°C+. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may narrow this 3°C spread as boundary layer conditions clarify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
21°C 27%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
13. Apr. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
11%
20°C
25%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 27%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
13. Apr. 2026
14°C or below
$972 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$330 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,085 Vol.
3%
18°C
$623 Vol.
9%
19°C
$1,057 Vol.
11%
20°C
$156 Vol.
25%
21°C
$240 Vol.
27%
22°C
$224 Vol.
22%
23°C
$235 Vol.
12%
24°C or higher
$408 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–22°C due to model ensemble spread from sources like ECMWF and GFS. Recent observations over the past week show daytime highs in the low 20s°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, suppressing solar insolation and limiting peaks compared to April averages of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include precipitation probabilities (40–75% across models), which could shave 1–2°C off clear-sky potentials, versus drier scenarios favoring 22°C+. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may narrow this 3°C spread as boundary layer conditions clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volumen
$5,850Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–22°C due to model ensemble spread from sources like ECMWF and GFS. Recent observations over the past week show daytime highs in the low 20s°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, suppressing solar insolation and limiting peaks compared to April averages of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include precipitation probabilities (40–75% across models), which could shave 1–2°C off clear-sky potentials, versus drier scenarios favoring 22°C+. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may narrow this 3°C spread as boundary layer conditions clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,850Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–22°C due to model ensemble spread from sources like ECMWF and GFS. Recent observations over the past week show daytime highs in the low 20s°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, suppressing solar insolation and limiting peaks compared to April averages of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include precipitation probabilities (40–75% across models), which could shave 1–2°C off clear-sky potentials, versus drier scenarios favoring 22°C+. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may narrow this 3°C spread as boundary layer conditions clarify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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