Hong Kong Observatory real-time observations on April 11 show air temperatures at the Observatory peaking at 27.6°C earlier in the day, with readings holding around 27°C through late afternoon amid cloudy skies and 80-83% relative humidity that suppress further warming. This aligns with multi-model forecast consensus from HKO, projecting a daily maximum of 27°C under moderate easterly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal April temperatures averaging 26-28°C historically. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged sunshine clearing clouds before sunset, potentially pushing readings to 28°C. Final hourly updates expected through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. April?
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
$137,389 Vol.
$137,389 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
$137,389 Vol.
$137,389 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory real-time observations on April 11 show air temperatures at the Observatory peaking at 27.6°C earlier in the day, with readings holding around 27°C through late afternoon amid cloudy skies and 80-83% relative humidity that suppress further warming. This aligns with multi-model forecast consensus from HKO, projecting a daily maximum of 27°C under moderate easterly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal April temperatures averaging 26-28°C historically. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged sunshine clearing clouds before sunset, potentially pushing readings to 28°C. Final hourly updates expected through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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