Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 29%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,151 Vol.
$12,151 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
4%
19°C 29%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,151 Vol.
$12,151 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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