Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
26°C 32%
27°C 29%
25°C 26%
24°C 11%
$27,427 Vol.
$27,427 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
26%
26°C
32%
27°C
29%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 29%
25°C 26%
24°C 11%
$27,427 Vol.
$27,427 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
21°C or below
$4,491 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,509 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,456 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,547 Vol.
11%
25°C
$1,936 Vol.
26%
26°C
$1,584 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1,619 Vol.
29%
28°C
$2,325 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,312 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,521 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$2,145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$27,427Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,427Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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