Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's station at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 11, 2026, peaked at 26°C during mid-afternoon hours, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This reflects partly cloudy conditions and moderate solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's spring warming phase, capping peaks below typical clear-sky potential amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity that suppressed further heating. April climatology shows average highs of 22–25°C, with model forecasts from CMA accurately predicting this range based on prevailing westerly flows and frontal influences. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post-peak measurement revision or overlooked microburst warming, though final daily summaries rarely alter intraday maxima once evening cooling dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$179,135 Vol.
$179,135 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$179,135 Vol.
$179,135 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's station at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 11, 2026, peaked at 26°C during mid-afternoon hours, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This reflects partly cloudy conditions and moderate solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's spring warming phase, capping peaks below typical clear-sky potential amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity that suppressed further heating. April climatology shows average highs of 22–25°C, with model forecasts from CMA accurately predicting this range based on prevailing westerly flows and frontal influences. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post-peak measurement revision or overlooked microburst warming, though final daily summaries rarely alter intraday maxima once evening cooling dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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