Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 12 will reach 24-25°C under cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 68.5% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher as the trader consensus. This reflects observed highs of 23-24°C on April 10 amid overcast conditions in the Sichuan Basin, followed by April 11 morning readings climbing from 16°C with subtle southerly flows supporting springtime warming trends typical for the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent stratiform cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 24°C as seen in recent analogs, while GFS runs lean slightly warmer. Overnight numerical weather prediction updates from CMA will refine outlooks before resolution via official Shuangliu Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 69%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
21°C 3.5%
$20,689 Vol.
$20,689 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
69%
24°C or higher 69%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
21°C 3.5%
$20,689 Vol.
$20,689 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 12 will reach 24-25°C under cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 68.5% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher as the trader consensus. This reflects observed highs of 23-24°C on April 10 amid overcast conditions in the Sichuan Basin, followed by April 11 morning readings climbing from 16°C with subtle southerly flows supporting springtime warming trends typical for the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent stratiform cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 24°C as seen in recent analogs, while GFS runs lean slightly warmer. Overnight numerical weather prediction updates from CMA will refine outlooks before resolution via official Shuangliu Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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