Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C and 23°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in forecast models amid persistent spring cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF indicate highs of 22–24°C, with timeanddate.com projecting 24°C under partly overcast skies with early sprinkles (14% precipitation chance), while yr.no favors 20°C due to heavier rain (8.6 mm). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence suppressing solar insolation—potentially capping at 22°C if low stratus lingers—or brief clearing allowing 23–24°C peaks. Recent overcast days (April 11 high near 25°C despite clouds) highlight model divergence on moisture advection; watch CMA's April 12 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 28%
23°C 23%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 28%
23°C 23%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C and 23°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in forecast models amid persistent spring cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF indicate highs of 22–24°C, with timeanddate.com projecting 24°C under partly overcast skies with early sprinkles (14% precipitation chance), while yr.no favors 20°C due to heavier rain (8.6 mm). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence suppressing solar insolation—potentially capping at 22°C if low stratus lingers—or brief clearing allowing 23–24°C peaks. Recent overcast days (April 11 high near 25°C despite clouds) highlight model divergence on moisture advection; watch CMA's April 12 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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