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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?

Apr. 10

Apr. 11

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

Apr. 10

Apr. 11

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

29°C 41%

28°C 30%

30°C 19%

27°C 13.5%

Polymarket

$15,326 Vol.

29°C 41%

28°C 30%

30°C 19%

27°C 13.5%

Polymarket

$15,326 Vol.

21°C or below

$1,556 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$1,136 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$1,259 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,678 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$3,523 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,311 Vol.

4%

27°C

$1,892 Vol.

13%

28°C

$817 Vol.

30%

29°C

$547 Vol.

36%

30°C

$794 Vol.

19%

31°C or higher

$814 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 amid sunny periods, southerly winds at force 3–4, and relative humidity of 65–90%, anchoring trader consensus with 29°C (36%) edging 28°C (30%). The tight race stems from short-range forecast uncertainty, where variable low-level cloud or afternoon sea breezes could suppress peaks to 28°C, while sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects enable 29–30°C. This warmer-than-average outlook reflects the seasonal forecast for above-normal April temperatures amid climate warming trends—historical mean maxima hover near 26°C—and current observations of 27°C today. Refined HKO guidance on April 12 will clarify model consensus before resolution on official highest reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,326
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 amid sunny periods, southerly winds at force 3–4, and relative humidity of 65–90%, anchoring trader consensus with 29°C (36%) edging 28°C (30%). The tight race stems from short-range forecast uncertainty, where variable low-level cloud or afternoon sea breezes could suppress peaks to 28°C, while sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects enable 29–30°C. This warmer-than-average outlook reflects the seasonal forecast for above-normal April temperatures amid climate warming trends—historical mean maxima hover near 26°C—and current observations of 27°C today. Refined HKO guidance on April 12 will clarify model consensus before resolution on official highest reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,326
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „29°C" mit 36%, gefolgt von „28°C" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $15.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?" ist „29°C" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „28°C" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.