Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 12. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul am 12. April?
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
$114,525 Vol.
$114,525 Vol.
14°C oder weniger
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
$114,525 Vol.
$114,525 Vol.
14°C oder weniger
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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