Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11, reflecting tight convergence in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle from a weak frontal system. Morning observations show overnight lows near 16°C, high humidity exceeding 90%, and scattered showers suppressing solar insolation despite mild southerly winds, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks adding 1°C via enhanced heating or heavier precipitation cooling below 22°C; CMA hourly nowcasts through the afternoon will refine this as real-time data accumulates near market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 93.8%
23°C 5%
29°C <1%
24°C <1%
$60,185 Vol.
$60,185 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
22°C
94%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 93.8%
23°C 5%
29°C <1%
24°C <1%
$60,185 Vol.
$60,185 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
22°C
$5,666 Vol.
94%
23°C
$3,171 Vol.
5%
24°C
$6,550 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,588 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,698 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,187 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,139 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11, reflecting tight convergence in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle from a weak frontal system. Morning observations show overnight lows near 16°C, high humidity exceeding 90%, and scattered showers suppressing solar insolation despite mild southerly winds, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks adding 1°C via enhanced heating or heavier precipitation cooling below 22°C; CMA hourly nowcasts through the afternoon will refine this as real-time data accumulates near market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$60,185Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11, reflecting tight convergence in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle from a weak frontal system. Morning observations show overnight lows near 16°C, high humidity exceeding 90%, and scattered showers suppressing solar insolation despite mild southerly winds, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks adding 1°C via enhanced heating or heavier precipitation cooling below 22°C; CMA hourly nowcasts through the afternoon will refine this as real-time data accumulates near market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$60,185Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11, reflecting tight convergence in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle from a weak frontal system. Morning observations show overnight lows near 16°C, high humidity exceeding 90%, and scattered showers suppressing solar insolation despite mild southerly winds, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks adding 1°C via enhanced heating or heavier precipitation cooling below 22°C; CMA hourly nowcasts through the afternoon will refine this as real-time data accumulates near market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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