Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 32%
23°C 30%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
30%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 30%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
30%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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