**Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight clustering around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 12, driving the near-even trader consensus between those outcomes amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs stabilizing after light rain on April 11, with cloud cover potentially capping solar heating at 23°C in some model runs while brief clear intervals could push peaks to 24°C via enhanced insolation. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in projected cloud fractions (40–60%) and urban heat island effects in central Wuhan, which often add 1–2°C above rural stations like Tianhe Airport used for resolution. Historical April averages hover near 21°C, but this warmer synoptic pattern elevates implied probabilities; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
24°C 41%
23°C 39%
25°C 10%
22°C 10%
$14,275 Vol.
$14,275 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
39%
24°C
41%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
5%
24°C 41%
23°C 39%
25°C 10%
22°C 10%
$14,275 Vol.
$14,275 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
16°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$887 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,106 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,270 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,947 Vol.
3%
22°C
$987 Vol.
10%
23°C
$887 Vol.
39%
24°C
$1,179 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,063 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$1,324 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight clustering around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 12, driving the near-even trader consensus between those outcomes amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs stabilizing after light rain on April 11, with cloud cover potentially capping solar heating at 23°C in some model runs while brief clear intervals could push peaks to 24°C via enhanced insolation. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in projected cloud fractions (40–60%) and urban heat island effects in central Wuhan, which often add 1–2°C above rural stations like Tianhe Airport used for resolution. Historical April averages hover near 21°C, but this warmer synoptic pattern elevates implied probabilities; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$14,275Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight clustering around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 12, driving the near-even trader consensus between those outcomes amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs stabilizing after light rain on April 11, with cloud cover potentially capping solar heating at 23°C in some model runs while brief clear intervals could push peaks to 24°C via enhanced insolation. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in projected cloud fractions (40–60%) and urban heat island effects in central Wuhan, which often add 1–2°C above rural stations like Tianhe Airport used for resolution. Historical April averages hover near 21°C, but this warmer synoptic pattern elevates implied probabilities; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,275Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight clustering around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 12, driving the near-even trader consensus between those outcomes amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs stabilizing after light rain on April 11, with cloud cover potentially capping solar heating at 23°C in some model runs while brief clear intervals could push peaks to 24°C via enhanced insolation. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in projected cloud fractions (40–60%) and urban heat island effects in central Wuhan, which often add 1–2°C above rural stations like Tianhe Airport used for resolution. Historical April averages hover near 21°C, but this warmer synoptic pattern elevates implied probabilities; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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