Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, with 99.4% implied probability, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Current readings show morning temperatures around 27°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 10-20 km/h, moderating heat buildup via sea breeze effects and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with April climatology, where average highs hover at 26-27°C, and recent model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF analogs) project no intensification beyond 28°C amid stable subtropical ridge positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or a warmer air mass advection, though low probability given current stability; end-of-day station reports will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 99.3%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$154,789 Vol.
$154,789 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.3%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$154,789 Vol.
$154,789 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
28°C
$34,615 Vol.
99%
29°C
$8,593 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,401 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,559 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$14,025 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, with 99.4% implied probability, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Current readings show morning temperatures around 27°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 10-20 km/h, moderating heat buildup via sea breeze effects and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with April climatology, where average highs hover at 26-27°C, and recent model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF analogs) project no intensification beyond 28°C amid stable subtropical ridge positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or a warmer air mass advection, though low probability given current stability; end-of-day station reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$154,789Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, with 99.4% implied probability, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Current readings show morning temperatures around 27°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 10-20 km/h, moderating heat buildup via sea breeze effects and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with April climatology, where average highs hover at 26-27°C, and recent model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF analogs) project no intensification beyond 28°C amid stable subtropical ridge positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or a warmer air mass advection, though low probability given current stability; end-of-day station reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$154,789Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, with 99.4% implied probability, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Current readings show morning temperatures around 27°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 10-20 km/h, moderating heat buildup via sea breeze effects and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with April climatology, where average highs hover at 26-27°C, and recent model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF analogs) project no intensification beyond 28°C amid stable subtropical ridge positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or a warmer air mass advection, though low probability given current stability; end-of-day station reports will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen