Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) clustering around 28-30°C under partly cloudy to fair conditions, fueling the razor-thin trader spread across these outcomes with implied probabilities of 25-29%. Recent variability—30°C peak on partly clear April 10 versus 26°C on cloudier April 11—highlights key differentiators: cloud cover suppressing maxima by 2-3°C via reduced insolation, and southerly sea breezes transporting cooler maritime air amid the city's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology averages 27°C highs, but warmer anomalies persist; new model runs twice daily through April 12 could shift consensus before Weather Underground resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 26%
31°C 15%
$12,581 Vol.
$12,581 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 26%
31°C 15%
$12,581 Vol.
$12,581 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) clustering around 28-30°C under partly cloudy to fair conditions, fueling the razor-thin trader spread across these outcomes with implied probabilities of 25-29%. Recent variability—30°C peak on partly clear April 10 versus 26°C on cloudier April 11—highlights key differentiators: cloud cover suppressing maxima by 2-3°C via reduced insolation, and southerly sea breezes transporting cooler maritime air amid the city's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology averages 27°C highs, but warmer anomalies persist; new model runs twice daily through April 12 could shift consensus before Weather Underground resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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