AEMET's latest forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects a maximum temperature of 24-25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warm southerly flow and clear skies conducive to strong diurnal heating. This positions trader consensus at an 80.5% implied probability for 23°C or higher, well above April climatological norms of 17-18°C, with the 19% on exactly 22°C reflecting minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus clouds or timing shifts in peak insolation around 4-6 PM local time. Hourly observations from the official station will provide real-time confirmation as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
23°C or higher 86%
22°C 13%
21°C 1.9%
20°C <1%
$58,660 Vol.
$58,660 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
86%
23°C or higher 86%
22°C 13%
21°C 1.9%
20°C <1%
$58,660 Vol.
$58,660 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects a maximum temperature of 24-25°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warm southerly flow and clear skies conducive to strong diurnal heating. This positions trader consensus at an 80.5% implied probability for 23°C or higher, well above April climatological norms of 17-18°C, with the 19% on exactly 22°C reflecting minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus clouds or timing shifts in peak insolation around 4-6 PM local time. Hourly observations from the official station will provide real-time confirmation as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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