National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of 77-81°F on April 11, supported by southerly winds, high pressure aloft, and partial clearing after morning clouds, aligning with April climatological normals near 77°F at Bush Intercontinental or Hobby airports. Current observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-70s amid hit-and-miss showers, reinforcing trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 76°F or higher. While short-range weather models carry inherent uncertainty, scenarios challenging this—like persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected marine layer reinforcement—remain low-probability outliers per official guidance, with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing real-time resolution cues through late afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
76°F or higher 95.2%
74-75°F 1.4%
72-73°F <1%
57°F or below <1%
$27,861 Vol.
$27,861 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
95%
76°F or higher 95.2%
74-75°F 1.4%
72-73°F <1%
57°F or below <1%
$27,861 Vol.
$27,861 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
57°F or below
$1,092 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,618 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,816 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,532 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,785 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,781 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,767 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,078 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,539 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$3,061 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of 77-81°F on April 11, supported by southerly winds, high pressure aloft, and partial clearing after morning clouds, aligning with April climatological normals near 77°F at Bush Intercontinental or Hobby airports. Current observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-70s amid hit-and-miss showers, reinforcing trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 76°F or higher. While short-range weather models carry inherent uncertainty, scenarios challenging this—like persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected marine layer reinforcement—remain low-probability outliers per official guidance, with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing real-time resolution cues through late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$27,861Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of 77-81°F on April 11, supported by southerly winds, high pressure aloft, and partial clearing after morning clouds, aligning with April climatological normals near 77°F at Bush Intercontinental or Hobby airports. Current observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-70s amid hit-and-miss showers, reinforcing trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 76°F or higher. While short-range weather models carry inherent uncertainty, scenarios challenging this—like persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected marine layer reinforcement—remain low-probability outliers per official guidance, with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing real-time resolution cues through late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,861Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of 77-81°F on April 11, supported by southerly winds, high pressure aloft, and partial clearing after morning clouds, aligning with April climatological normals near 77°F at Bush Intercontinental or Hobby airports. Current observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-70s amid hit-and-miss showers, reinforcing trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 76°F or higher. While short-range weather models carry inherent uncertainty, scenarios challenging this—like persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected marine layer reinforcement—remain low-probability outliers per official guidance, with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing real-time resolution cues through late afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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