MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 12 high at 20°C amid occasional rain turning heavy midday, with strong northeasterlies shifting to gale-force southerlies gusting to 90 km/h, tied to a frontal system and potential remnants of Tropical Cyclone Vaianu. Trader consensus favors 19°C at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation and winds enhancing atmospheric mixing to cap peak heating below model guidance—especially after April 10's observed 16.3°C max and today's projected 22°C warmup. Heavy rain and strong wind watches signal volatility, with updates due 10am April 12 that could refine model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology averages 17–18°C highs, underscoring the tight race among 18–20°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 40%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
$42,136 Vol.
$42,136 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
18%
19°C
40%
20°C
28%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 40%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
$42,136 Vol.
$42,136 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
18%
19°C
40%
20°C
28%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 12 high at 20°C amid occasional rain turning heavy midday, with strong northeasterlies shifting to gale-force southerlies gusting to 90 km/h, tied to a frontal system and potential remnants of Tropical Cyclone Vaianu. Trader consensus favors 19°C at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation and winds enhancing atmospheric mixing to cap peak heating below model guidance—especially after April 10's observed 16.3°C max and today's projected 22°C warmup. Heavy rain and strong wind watches signal volatility, with updates due 10am April 12 that could refine model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology averages 17–18°C highs, underscoring the tight race among 18–20°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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