Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (26%) and 13°C (24%), reflecting Met Office forecasts of a windy day with sunshine intervals and heavy showers limiting peak temperatures to near seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Recent developments—a cool westerly flow displacing an early-April warm spell that hit 26.5°C in Kew Gardens—have introduced Atlantic fronts fostering blustery conditions and cloud cover variability, differentiating outcomes: lighter showers could nudge toward 15–16°C, while persistent downpours favor 13°C or below. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 14°C, with daily Met Office updates through Sunday potentially refining this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 13. April?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 13. April?
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C oder höher 11%
$34,403 Vol.
$34,403 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
6°C oder weniger
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
24%
14°C
36%
15°C
24%
16°C oder höher
11%
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C oder höher 11%
$34,403 Vol.
$34,403 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
6°C oder weniger
$2,764 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,869 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,210 Vol.
1%
11°C
$3,451 Vol.
2%
12°C
$3,908 Vol.
7%
13°C
$2,833 Vol.
24%
14°C
$3,244 Vol.
36%
15°C
$3,163 Vol.
24%
16°C oder höher
$4,260 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (26%) and 13°C (24%), reflecting Met Office forecasts of a windy day with sunshine intervals and heavy showers limiting peak temperatures to near seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Recent developments—a cool westerly flow displacing an early-April warm spell that hit 26.5°C in Kew Gardens—have introduced Atlantic fronts fostering blustery conditions and cloud cover variability, differentiating outcomes: lighter showers could nudge toward 15–16°C, while persistent downpours favor 13°C or below. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 14°C, with daily Met Office updates through Sunday potentially refining this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$34,403Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (26%) and 13°C (24%), reflecting Met Office forecasts of a windy day with sunshine intervals and heavy showers limiting peak temperatures to near seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Recent developments—a cool westerly flow displacing an early-April warm spell that hit 26.5°C in Kew Gardens—have introduced Atlantic fronts fostering blustery conditions and cloud cover variability, differentiating outcomes: lighter showers could nudge toward 15–16°C, while persistent downpours favor 13°C or below. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 14°C, with daily Met Office updates through Sunday potentially refining this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,403Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (26%) and 13°C (24%), reflecting Met Office forecasts of a windy day with sunshine intervals and heavy showers limiting peak temperatures to near seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Recent developments—a cool westerly flow displacing an early-April warm spell that hit 26.5°C in Kew Gardens—have introduced Atlantic fronts fostering blustery conditions and cloud cover variability, differentiating outcomes: lighter showers could nudge toward 15–16°C, while persistent downpours favor 13°C or below. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 14°C, with daily Met Office updates through Sunday potentially refining this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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