The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly clear skies with just a 10% rain chance and UV index of 8, anchoring trader sentiment in the tight cluster around 30–32°C implied probabilities. This reflects strong solar insolation from minimal cloud cover following April 11's partial clearing after occasional showers, combined with warm overnight lows near 23°C that limit cooling and support daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially adding 1–2°C in central Taipei, versus moderating sea breezes or brief afternoon clouds capping at 30°C; full sunshine could push toward 32°C. Hourly CWA updates and satellite observations overnight may refine the peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
$25,372 Vol.
$25,372 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C
19%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
$25,372 Vol.
$25,372 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C
19%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly clear skies with just a 10% rain chance and UV index of 8, anchoring trader sentiment in the tight cluster around 30–32°C implied probabilities. This reflects strong solar insolation from minimal cloud cover following April 11's partial clearing after occasional showers, combined with warm overnight lows near 23°C that limit cooling and support daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially adding 1–2°C in central Taipei, versus moderating sea breezes or brief afternoon clouds capping at 30°C; full sunshine could push toward 32°C. Hourly CWA updates and satellite observations overnight may refine the peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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