National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport indicate a high temperature near 50°F on April 12, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging aloft and east-northeasterly surface winds limiting cold advection, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows tight agreement on mild conditions, above climatological normals of 57.6°F, following a warm early spring pattern with multiple 70°F+ days already recorded. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover or a faster-moving weak cold front, potentially capping highs below 44°F, though current soundings and satellite imagery suggest low likelihood ahead of final afternoon observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 12. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 12. April?
44°F oder höher 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
25°F oder darunter <1%
$66,371 Vol.
$66,371 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
25°F oder darunter
<1%
26-27°F
<1%
28-29 °F
<1%
30-31°F
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44°F oder höher
100%
44°F oder höher 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
25°F oder darunter <1%
$66,371 Vol.
$66,371 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
25°F oder darunter
$7,214 Vol.
<1%
26-27°F
$5,965 Vol.
<1%
28-29 °F
$5,152 Vol.
<1%
30-31°F
$3,801 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$3,782 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$3,784 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$3,523 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$5,872 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,840 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$12,731 Vol.
<1%
44°F oder höher
$9,708 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport indicate a high temperature near 50°F on April 12, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging aloft and east-northeasterly surface winds limiting cold advection, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows tight agreement on mild conditions, above climatological normals of 57.6°F, following a warm early spring pattern with multiple 70°F+ days already recorded. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover or a faster-moving weak cold front, potentially capping highs below 44°F, though current soundings and satellite imagery suggest low likelihood ahead of final afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$66,371Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport indicate a high temperature near 50°F on April 12, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging aloft and east-northeasterly surface winds limiting cold advection, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows tight agreement on mild conditions, above climatological normals of 57.6°F, following a warm early spring pattern with multiple 70°F+ days already recorded. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover or a faster-moving weak cold front, potentially capping highs below 44°F, though current soundings and satellite imagery suggest low likelihood ahead of final afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$66,371Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport indicate a high temperature near 50°F on April 12, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging aloft and east-northeasterly surface winds limiting cold advection, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows tight agreement on mild conditions, above climatological normals of 57.6°F, following a warm early spring pattern with multiple 70°F+ days already recorded. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover or a faster-moving weak cold front, potentially capping highs below 44°F, though current soundings and satellite imagery suggest low likelihood ahead of final afternoon observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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