Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C or below at 80.3% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecast from China's National Meteorological Center projecting a maximum of 17°C amid persistent light rain and cloudy skies. Today's April 11 high of 19°C under similar rainy conditions reflects ongoing frontal activity from northern cold air masses, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Easterly winds around 12 km/h further moderate temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 17–19°C amid East Asian monsoon transition patterns. While model ensembles like ECMWF show tight clustering around 16–18°C, minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher; official hourly data from Xujiahui station will confirm resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 81.0%
18°C 15%
20°C 2.3%
19°C 1.9%
$60,696 Vol.
$60,696 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
81%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 81.0%
18°C 15%
20°C 2.3%
19°C 1.9%
$60,696 Vol.
$60,696 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
$10,801 Vol.
81%
18°C
$4,937 Vol.
15%
19°C
$6,783 Vol.
2%
20°C
$4,352 Vol.
2%
21°C
$4,338 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5,287 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,478 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,063 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,916 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$4,411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C or below at 80.3% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecast from China's National Meteorological Center projecting a maximum of 17°C amid persistent light rain and cloudy skies. Today's April 11 high of 19°C under similar rainy conditions reflects ongoing frontal activity from northern cold air masses, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Easterly winds around 12 km/h further moderate temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 17–19°C amid East Asian monsoon transition patterns. While model ensembles like ECMWF show tight clustering around 16–18°C, minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher; official hourly data from Xujiahui station will confirm resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$60,696Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C or below at 80.3% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecast from China's National Meteorological Center projecting a maximum of 17°C amid persistent light rain and cloudy skies. Today's April 11 high of 19°C under similar rainy conditions reflects ongoing frontal activity from northern cold air masses, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Easterly winds around 12 km/h further moderate temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 17–19°C amid East Asian monsoon transition patterns. While model ensembles like ECMWF show tight clustering around 16–18°C, minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher; official hourly data from Xujiahui station will confirm resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$60,696Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C or below at 80.3% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecast from China's National Meteorological Center projecting a maximum of 17°C amid persistent light rain and cloudy skies. Today's April 11 high of 19°C under similar rainy conditions reflects ongoing frontal activity from northern cold air masses, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Easterly winds around 12 km/h further moderate temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 17–19°C amid East Asian monsoon transition patterns. While model ensembles like ECMWF show tight clustering around 16–18°C, minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher; official hourly data from Xujiahui station will confirm resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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