Latest ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models projects Houston's high temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 14 around 82-84°F under a developing high-pressure ridge promoting southerly winds and ample sunshine, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 82-83°F leading at 33% implied probability. Recent scattered showers over the April 11-12 weekend have cleared, allowing boundary-layer warming, but lingering model spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clouds or lighter mixing—creates tight odds between 80-81°F (21%), 82-83°F, and 84°F+ (23.5%), reflecting scientific uncertainty in short-range solar insolation and low-level moisture. Watch for National Weather Service updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs overnight, which could refine land surface temperature forecasts ahead of resolution using finalized Wunderground data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 34%
84°F or higher 24%
78-79°F 8%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
34%
84°F or higher
24%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 34%
84°F or higher 24%
78-79°F 8%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
34%
84°F or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models projects Houston's high temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 14 around 82-84°F under a developing high-pressure ridge promoting southerly winds and ample sunshine, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 82-83°F leading at 33% implied probability. Recent scattered showers over the April 11-12 weekend have cleared, allowing boundary-layer warming, but lingering model spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clouds or lighter mixing—creates tight odds between 80-81°F (21%), 82-83°F, and 84°F+ (23.5%), reflecting scientific uncertainty in short-range solar insolation and low-level moisture. Watch for National Weather Service updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs overnight, which could refine land surface temperature forecasts ahead of resolution using finalized Wunderground data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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