Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
NEU
$59,008 Vol.
NEU
$59,008 Vol.
14. Apr. 2026
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
99%
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
NEU
$59,008 Vol.
NEU
$59,008 Vol.
14. Apr. 2026
39°F or below
$8,306 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,406 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,465 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$2,470 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,470 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$2,554 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$2,283 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,665 Vol.
1%
58°F or higher
$29,765 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$59,008Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,008Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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