Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
20°C 28%
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 25.9%
18°C 19%
$184,384 Vol.
$184,384 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
19%
19°C
27%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
26%
20°C 28%
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 25.9%
18°C 19%
$184,384 Vol.
$184,384 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
19%
19°C
27%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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