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Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

Apr. 14

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

Apr. 14

13°C 23%

12°C 23%

11°C 21%

14°C 16%

Polymarket
NEU

13°C 23%

12°C 23%

11°C 21%

14°C 16%

Polymarket
NEU

5°C or below

$137 Vol.

1%

6°C

$104 Vol.

1%

7°C

$109 Vol.

1%

8°C

$186 Vol.

1%

9°C

$77 Vol.

8%

10°C

$141 Vol.

9%

11°C

$57 Vol.

21%

12°C

$119 Vol.

23%

13°C

$43 Vol.

23%

14°C

$47 Vol.

16%

15°C or higher

$26 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,043
Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,043
Enddatum
14. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „12°C" mit 23%, gefolgt von „13°C" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 23¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 12, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?" ist „12°C" mit 23%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „13°C" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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