Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts project London's lowest temperature on April 15 at 9-11°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 11°C (39% implied probability) amid clustered odds for 10-13°C outcomes exceeding 80% combined. Persistent low cloud and southerly breezes at 15-20 mph inhibit radiative cooling overnight, following a sharp shift from early April's record warmth (exceeding 20°C) to unsettled Atlantic patterns with light rain and showers. Ensemble models from NOAA and ECMWF show minimal spread, with highs near 16-17°C supporting mild overnight minima well above April climatological averages of 5-7°C at Heathrow. Final hourly observations will confirm, but cloud breaks could nudge lows toward 10°C or slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 15. April?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 15. April?
11°C 38.5%
13°C 17%
12°C 15.6%
10°C 9.6%
$29,550 Vol.
$29,550 Vol.
6°C oder weniger
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
13%
11°C
39%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
11°C 38.5%
13°C 17%
12°C 15.6%
10°C 9.6%
$29,550 Vol.
$29,550 Vol.
6°C oder weniger
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
13%
11°C
39%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts project London's lowest temperature on April 15 at 9-11°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 11°C (39% implied probability) amid clustered odds for 10-13°C outcomes exceeding 80% combined. Persistent low cloud and southerly breezes at 15-20 mph inhibit radiative cooling overnight, following a sharp shift from early April's record warmth (exceeding 20°C) to unsettled Atlantic patterns with light rain and showers. Ensemble models from NOAA and ECMWF show minimal spread, with highs near 16-17°C supporting mild overnight minima well above April climatological averages of 5-7°C at Heathrow. Final hourly observations will confirm, but cloud breaks could nudge lows toward 10°C or slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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