Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts project Busan highs of 22-24°C on April 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 23°C at 34.5% implied probability amid typical mid-spring warming. Recent observations show yesterday's mild 20s°C temperatures with stable high-pressure influence boosting warmer outcomes like 24°C (21.7%) or 25°C+ (16.2%) if skies clear further, while increased cloudiness or sea-breeze cooling could favor 22°C (22.5%) or 21°C (6.5%). Lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect low risk of northerly cold advection or frontal passages, per model ensembles. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics explains the broad distribution; monitor KMA hourly updates resolving to Gimhae Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 35.5%
22°C 25%
24°C 21.5%
25°C or higher 16.0%
$17,699 Vol.
$17,699 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
25%
23°C
36%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
16%
23°C 35.5%
22°C 25%
24°C 21.5%
25°C or higher 16.0%
$17,699 Vol.
$17,699 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
25%
23°C
36%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts project Busan highs of 22-24°C on April 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 23°C at 34.5% implied probability amid typical mid-spring warming. Recent observations show yesterday's mild 20s°C temperatures with stable high-pressure influence boosting warmer outcomes like 24°C (21.7%) or 25°C+ (16.2%) if skies clear further, while increased cloudiness or sea-breeze cooling could favor 22°C (22.5%) or 21°C (6.5%). Lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect low risk of northerly cold advection or frontal passages, per model ensembles. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer dynamics explains the broad distribution; monitor KMA hourly updates resolving to Gimhae Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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