National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on April 15, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-15 mph, driving the market's 91% implied probability on 80°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus from NOAA guidance. Persistent upper-level ridging over Texas has maintained a warm, humid pattern, with south-southeasterly flow advecting Gulf moisture and keeping highs well above the mid-April climatological normal of around 79°F, as evidenced by today's 84°F peak amid patchy drizzle. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or increased mid-level cloud cover from low rain chances (20-30%), potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F if boundary layer mixing weakens; monitor afternoon updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 91%
78-79°F 6.6%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$27,427 Vol.
$27,427 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80°F or higher
91%
80°F or higher 91%
78-79°F 6.6%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$27,427 Vol.
$27,427 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80°F or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on April 15, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-15 mph, driving the market's 91% implied probability on 80°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus from NOAA guidance. Persistent upper-level ridging over Texas has maintained a warm, humid pattern, with south-southeasterly flow advecting Gulf moisture and keeping highs well above the mid-April climatological normal of around 79°F, as evidenced by today's 84°F peak amid patchy drizzle. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or increased mid-level cloud cover from low rain chances (20-30%), potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F if boundary layer mixing weakens; monitor afternoon updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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