Met Office's latest forecast, updated evening of April 14, pegs London's Heathrow maximum temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome amid light rain risks. Southerly winds ushering mild Atlantic air masses support highs around 16–18°C, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, following a record 26.6°C heat spike around April 8 that yielded to cooling fronts. Cloudy starts and afternoon heavy rain with gusts cap solar heating, per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, though drier intervals could nudge toward 18°C (28.5%). Observational data from April 14's 16°C high reinforces this positioning; watch hourly updates for cloud breaks or precipitation timing as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 15. April?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 15. April?
17°C 39%
18°C 29%
16°C 23%
19°C oder mehr 4.2%
$117,130 Vol.
$117,130 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C oder mehr
4%
17°C 39%
18°C 29%
16°C 23%
19°C oder mehr 4.2%
$117,130 Vol.
$117,130 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C oder mehr
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest forecast, updated evening of April 14, pegs London's Heathrow maximum temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome amid light rain risks. Southerly winds ushering mild Atlantic air masses support highs around 16–18°C, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C, following a record 26.6°C heat spike around April 8 that yielded to cooling fronts. Cloudy starts and afternoon heavy rain with gusts cap solar heating, per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, though drier intervals could nudge toward 18°C (28.5%). Observational data from April 14's 16°C high reinforces this positioning; watch hourly updates for cloud breaks or precipitation timing as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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