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Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?

Market icon

Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?

Apr. 15

Apr. 15

66-67°F 25.0%

64-65°F 16%

60-61°F 12.5%

62-63°F 11%

Polymarket
NEU

$21,895 Vol.

66-67°F 25.0%

64-65°F 16%

60-61°F 12.5%

62-63°F 11%

Polymarket
NEU

$21,895 Vol.

59°F oder darunter

$2,406 Vol.

3%

60-61°F

$1,473 Vol.

13%

62-63°F

$1,644 Vol.

11%

64-65°F

$2,812 Vol.

16%

66-67°F

$3,131 Vol.

25%

68-69°F

$1,448 Vol.

8%

70-71°F

$760 Vol.

6%

72-73°F

$832 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$861 Vol.

2%

76-77°F

$1,081 Vol.

1%

78°F oder höher

$5,465 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,895
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,895
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „66-67°F" mit 25%, gefolgt von „64-65°F" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 25¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $21.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 14, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?" ist „66-67°F" mit 25%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „64-65°F" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. April?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.