Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertReinaldo Azambuja 64%
Beto do Movimento 26%
Capitão Contar 23%
Vander Loubet 22%

Reinaldo Azambuja
64%

Beto do Movimento
26%

Capitão Contar
23%

Vander Loubet
22%

Valderi Garcia
21%

Soraya
19%

Daniel Junior
19%

Roberto Oshiro
7%

Valter da Comagran
7%

Luiz Lemes
7%
Reinaldo Azambuja 64%
Beto do Movimento 26%
Capitão Contar 23%
Vander Loubet 22%

Reinaldo Azambuja
64%

Beto do Movimento
26%

Capitão Contar
23%

Vander Loubet
22%

Valderi Garcia
21%

Soraya
19%

Daniel Junior
19%

Roberto Oshiro
7%

Valter da Comagran
7%

Luiz Lemes
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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