Multiple viable candidates including incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos), Wellington Fagundes (PL), and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) remain closely bunched in early August polling, with Fagundes holding narrow leads in stimulated scenarios around 27-34% but high undecided shares of 25-28% preventing consolidation. Fragmented party coalitions, the state's agricultural base, and absence of decisive late-campaign events sustain this equilibrium, aligning with trader consensus pricing several outcomes near 43-45% and reflecting broad uncertainty over first-round advancement or runoff pairings ahead of the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOtaviano Pivetta 47%
Wellington Fagundes 46%
Doutora Natasha 44%
Sargento Laudicério 44%

Otaviano Pivetta
47%

Wellington Fagundes
46%

Doutora Natasha
44%

Sargento Laudicério
44%

Mauricio Coelho
44%

Rafaell Milas
8%
Otaviano Pivetta 47%
Wellington Fagundes 46%
Doutora Natasha 44%
Sargento Laudicério 44%

Otaviano Pivetta
47%

Wellington Fagundes
46%

Doutora Natasha
44%

Sargento Laudicério
44%

Mauricio Coelho
44%

Rafaell Milas
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple viable candidates including incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos), Wellington Fagundes (PL), and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) remain closely bunched in early August polling, with Fagundes holding narrow leads in stimulated scenarios around 27-34% but high undecided shares of 25-28% preventing consolidation. Fragmented party coalitions, the state's agricultural base, and absence of decisive late-campaign events sustain this equilibrium, aligning with trader consensus pricing several outcomes near 43-45% and reflecting broad uncertainty over first-round advancement or runoff pairings ahead of the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen