Trader consensus favors the 35-38m range at 45.7% implied probability for Michael’s third domestic weekend, driven by its exceptional second-weekend hold of $54.4 million—a mere 44% drop from the record-shattering $97.2 million opening—fueled by robust fan word-of-mouth and high audience scores despite middling critical reception. This audience-driven momentum, echoing Bohemian Rhapsody’s legs, has cumulative domestic grosses at $195 million midway through week two, positioning the Jaafar Jackson-starring biopic to sustain mid-30s earnings amid competition from holdovers like The Devil Wears Prada 2 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Watch Friday tracking and premium format sales for potential upside toward >38m territory as the May 8-10 frame unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Michael" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
"Michael" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
35-38 Mio. 45.9%
>38 Mio. 25.9%
32-35 Mio. 17%
<32 Mio. 9%
$44,312 Vol.
$44,312 Vol.
<32 Mio.
9%
32-35 Mio.
17%
35-38 Mio.
46%
>38 Mio.
26%
35-38 Mio. 45.9%
>38 Mio. 25.9%
32-35 Mio. 17%
<32 Mio. 9%
$44,312 Vol.
$44,312 Vol.
<32 Mio.
9%
32-35 Mio.
17%
35-38 Mio.
46%
>38 Mio.
26%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the 35-38m range at 45.7% implied probability for Michael’s third domestic weekend, driven by its exceptional second-weekend hold of $54.4 million—a mere 44% drop from the record-shattering $97.2 million opening—fueled by robust fan word-of-mouth and high audience scores despite middling critical reception. This audience-driven momentum, echoing Bohemian Rhapsody’s legs, has cumulative domestic grosses at $195 million midway through week two, positioning the Jaafar Jackson-starring biopic to sustain mid-30s earnings amid competition from holdovers like The Devil Wears Prada 2 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Watch Friday tracking and premium format sales for potential upside toward >38m territory as the May 8-10 frame unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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