Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-03 Wahlsieger
MN-03 Wahlsieger
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$6,165 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,058Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,058Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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