On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
„Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1. September" mit 100%, gefolgt von „2. September" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.
Stand heute hat „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 10, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.
Um auf „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.
Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" ist „1. September" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2. September" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.
Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.
Ja. Sie müssen nicht handeln, um informiert zu bleiben. Diese Seite dient als Live-Tracker für „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?". Die Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn neue Handelsgeschäfte eingehen. Sie können diese Seite als Lesezeichen speichern und den Kommentarbereich lesen, um zu sehen, was andere Händler sagen. Sie können auch die Zeitfilter im Diagramm nutzen, um zu sehen, wie sich die Quoten im Laufe der Zeit verändert haben.
Polymarket-Quoten werden von echten Händlern festgelegt, die echtes Geld hinter ihre Überzeugungen setzen, was tendenziell genaue Vorhersagen hervorbringt. Mit $1.6 million Handelsvolumen bei “Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?” aggregieren diese Preise das kollektive Wissen und die Überzeugung Tausender Teilnehmer — oft genauer als Umfragen, Expertenprognosen und traditionelle Erhebungen. Prognosemärkte wie Polymarket haben eine starke Erfolgsbilanz bei der Genauigkeit, besonders wenn Ereignisse sich ihrem Auflösungsdatum nähern. Beispielsweise hat Polymarket einen Einmonats-Genauigkeitswert von 94%. Für die neuesten Statistiken zur Vorhersagegenauigkeit von Polymarket besuchen Sie die Genauigkeitsseite auf Polymarket.
Um Ihren ersten Handel auf „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" zu platzieren, erstellen Sie ein kostenloses Polymarket-Konto und laden Sie es mit Krypto, Kredit- oder Debitkarte oder Banküberweisung auf. Sobald Ihr Konto aufgeladen ist, kehren Sie zu dieser Seite zurück, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, auf das Sie handeln möchten, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie neu bei Prognosemärkten sind, klicken Sie auf den Link „So funktioniert es" oben auf jeder Polymarket-Seite für eine Schritt-für-Schritt-Anleitung.
Auf Polymarket repräsentiert der Preis jedes Ergebnisses die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes. Ein Preis von 100¢ für „1. September" im Markt „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" bedeutet, dass Händler kollektiv eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 100% sehen, dass „1. September" das korrekte Ergebnis sein wird. Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile bei 100¢ kaufen und das Ergebnis korrekt ist, erhalten Sie $1,00 pro Anteil – ein Gewinn von 0¢ pro Anteil. Ist es falsch, sind diese Anteile $0 wert.
Der Markt „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" wurde aufgelöst. Das endgültige Ergebnis wurde bestimmt und der Markt ist nicht mehr für den Handel geöffnet. Sie können weiterhin die historischen Quoten, Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten und Kommentare auf dieser Seite einsehen.
Der Markt „Nächstes Mythos-Klasse-Modell veröffentlicht von...?" hat eine aktive Community mit 314 Kommentaren, in der Händler ihre Analysen teilen, Ergebnisse diskutieren und aktuelle Entwicklungen besprechen. Scrollen Sie zum Kommentarbereich unten, um zu lesen, was andere Teilnehmer denken. Sie können auch nach „Top-Haltern" filtern oder den Tab „Aktivität" für einen Echtzeit-Feed von Handelsgeschäften prüfen.
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