Trader consensus heavily favors over 3 million YouTube views for Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video in its first week, with 69.5% implied probability, driven by the track's robust streaming metrics—over 300 million Spotify plays—and rising radio airplay (14th on pop radio with 12.2 million audience impressions). Released April 2 as a surprise visualizer homage featuring archival Elizabeth Taylor footage from The Life of a Showgirl album, it debuted with 1.05 million views in 24 hours, adding 480,000 on day two and reaching about 2 million by day four amid steady 400,000+ daily gains. Historical patterns for Swift's recent videos, like "The Fate of Ophelia" exploding to hundreds of millions, underpin expectations of weekend acceleration, though mixed fan reactions to its fancam-style could cap momentum before the April 9 cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
3m+ 70%
2.5-2.75m 18%
2.75-3m 13%
2.25-2.5m 8.2%
$11,611 Vol.
$11,611 Vol.
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
4%
2.25-2.5m
8%
2.5-2.75m
18%
2.75-3m
13%
3m+
70%
3m+ 70%
2.5-2.75m 18%
2.75-3m 13%
2.25-2.5m 8.2%
$11,611 Vol.
$11,611 Vol.
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
4%
2.25-2.5m
8%
2.5-2.75m
18%
2.75-3m
13%
3m+
70%
This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors over 3 million YouTube views for Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video in its first week, with 69.5% implied probability, driven by the track's robust streaming metrics—over 300 million Spotify plays—and rising radio airplay (14th on pop radio with 12.2 million audience impressions). Released April 2 as a surprise visualizer homage featuring archival Elizabeth Taylor footage from The Life of a Showgirl album, it debuted with 1.05 million views in 24 hours, adding 480,000 on day two and reaching about 2 million by day four amid steady 400,000+ daily gains. Historical patterns for Swift's recent videos, like "The Fate of Ophelia" exploding to hundreds of millions, underpin expectations of weekend acceleration, though mixed fan reactions to its fancam-style could cap momentum before the April 9 cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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