With over 93% of ballots processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori commands a firm first-round lead at approximately 17% in the April 12-13 presidential election, reflecting trader consensus on her lock as top vote-getter for the June 7 runoff amid a fragmented field where no candidate nears the 50% threshold. Exit polls and quick counts from Ipsos and Datum initially positioned her ahead, a margin widened by urban and northern strongholds as official tallies progressed despite logistical delays that extended voting and sparked unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga. Remaining actas from rural areas and abroad, plus resolutions of around 5,000 observed or impugned ballots by special boards, pose minimal risk to her position barring extraordinary reversals or successful legal challenges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeiko Fujimori 99.3%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Vladimir Cerrón <1%
$1,854,445 Vol.
$1,854,445 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
99%

Rafael López Aliaga
<1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 99.3%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Vladimir Cerrón <1%
$1,854,445 Vol.
$1,854,445 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
99%

Rafael López Aliaga
<1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 93% of ballots processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori commands a firm first-round lead at approximately 17% in the April 12-13 presidential election, reflecting trader consensus on her lock as top vote-getter for the June 7 runoff amid a fragmented field where no candidate nears the 50% threshold. Exit polls and quick counts from Ipsos and Datum initially positioned her ahead, a margin widened by urban and northern strongholds as official tallies progressed despite logistical delays that extended voting and sparked unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga. Remaining actas from rural areas and abroad, plus resolutions of around 5,000 observed or impugned ballots by special boards, pose minimal risk to her position barring extraordinary reversals or successful legal challenges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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