Aaron Judge's early 2026 production, including double-digit home runs, strong run totals, and elite OPS alongside top bWAR among AL position players, underpins his 43.5% implied probability as the leading AL MVP candidate in trader consensus. As a two-time defending winner with proven late-season durability, he maintains separation from Bobby Witt Jr. at 17%, whose speed and defense keep him in the mix despite more modest power output. Yordan Alvarez at 9% benefits from a healthy resurgence after prior injury setbacks, while Ben Rice at 4.3% draws support from his Yankees teammate breakout. The closely bunched field below reflects the long season ahead, where sustained form, health, and team success will shape further shifts in these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAaron Judge 44%
Bobby Witt Jr. 17%
Yordan Alvarez 9.0%
Jose Ramirez 4.0%
$107,306 Vol.
$107,306 Vol.
Aaron Judge
44%
Bobby Witt Jr.
17%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Ben Rice
4%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Aaron Judge 44%
Bobby Witt Jr. 17%
Yordan Alvarez 9.0%
Jose Ramirez 4.0%
$107,306 Vol.
$107,306 Vol.
Aaron Judge
44%
Bobby Witt Jr.
17%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Ben Rice
4%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Corey Seager
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's early 2026 production, including double-digit home runs, strong run totals, and elite OPS alongside top bWAR among AL position players, underpins his 43.5% implied probability as the leading AL MVP candidate in trader consensus. As a two-time defending winner with proven late-season durability, he maintains separation from Bobby Witt Jr. at 17%, whose speed and defense keep him in the mix despite more modest power output. Yordan Alvarez at 9% benefits from a healthy resurgence after prior injury setbacks, while Ben Rice at 4.3% draws support from his Yankees teammate breakout. The closely bunched field below reflects the long season ahead, where sustained form, health, and team success will shape further shifts in these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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