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icon for Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska
Wahlen·Hauptwahl

Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska

icon for Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska
Wahlen·Hauptwahl

Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.4%

Ćamil Duraković 3.4%

Polymarket
NEU

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.4%

Ćamil Duraković 3.4%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

37%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

3%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

3%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

2%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

2%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

9%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić, the SNSD-backed Prime Minister of Republika Srpska, holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026 general election for president, reflecting the ruling coalition’s organizational strength and consistent performance in recent entity contests. SNSD formally confirmed his candidacy in late June 2026 with unified support from coalition partners, positioning him against Branko Blanuša of the main opposition SDS. Blanuša’s narrower support stems from ongoing opposition divisions and limited success in consolidating votes behind a single challenger, as seen in prior races. Lesser candidates, including several running for vice-presidential posts tied to national group quotas, register minimal implied probabilities due to the entity’s Serb-majority dynamics and the dominance of the two primary contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the trader consensus ahead of the vote.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.izbori.ba/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić, the SNSD-backed Prime Minister of Republika Srpska, holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026 general election for president, reflecting the ruling coalition’s organizational strength and consistent performance in recent entity contests. SNSD formally confirmed his candidacy in late June 2026 with unified support from coalition partners, positioning him against Branko Blanuša of the main opposition SDS. Blanuša’s narrower support stems from ongoing opposition divisions and limited success in consolidating votes behind a single challenger, as seen in prior races. Lesser candidates, including several running for vice-presidential posts tied to national group quotas, register minimal implied probabilities due to the entity’s Serb-majority dynamics and the dominance of the two primary contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the trader consensus ahead of the vote.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.izbori.ba/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Bakir Izetbegović nach den Wahlen 2026 das bosniakische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

Wird Bakir Izetbegović nach den Wahlen 2026 das bosniakische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

53%
Ja
icon for Wird Darijana Filipović nach den allgemeinen Wahlen 2026 das kroatische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

Wird Darijana Filipović nach den allgemeinen Wahlen 2026 das kroatische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

70%
Ja
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Savo Minić" mit 60%, gefolgt von „Branko Blanuša" mit 37%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 60¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 60% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 24, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska" ist „Savo Minić" mit 60%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 60% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Branko Blanuša" mit 37%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Präsidentschaftswahl in der Republika Srpska" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.