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icon for Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?
Technik·AI

Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?

icon for Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?
Technik·AI

Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?

Ja

6% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

6% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,591
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,591
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Unterschreibt Elon Musk die Erklärung 'Pacing the Frontier' bis zum 30. September?

9%
Ja
icon for Frontier-AI-Labore kündigen 2026 neue gemeinsame Pacing-Vereinbarung an?

Frontier-AI-Labore kündigen 2026 neue gemeinsame Pacing-Vereinbarung an?

47%
Ja
icon for USA und China einigen sich darauf, die KI-Entwicklung bis 2026 gemeinsam voranzutreiben?

USA und China einigen sich darauf, die KI-Entwicklung bis 2026 gemeinsam voranzutreiben?

8%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Unterzeichnet Sam Altman die Erklärung "Pacing the Frontier" bis zum 30. September?" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 6¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 6% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Sam Altman unterzeichnet die Pacing the Frontier-Erklärung bis zum 30. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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