Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales recently resigned from the House amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half of this market's conditions just days ago. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to uncertainty over remaining Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick and Cory Mills, both under House Ethics Committee scrutiny—Cherfilus-McCormick for 25 counts of financial misconduct including misusing $5 million in FEMA funds, and Mills for sexual misconduct claims—yet expulsion requires a two-thirds supermajority vote, historically rare outside bipartisan scandals. Her April 21 Ethics hearing could trigger a floor vote, while Mills faces GOP primary challengers in August but no imminent resolution; swift bipartisan ousters or resignations would boost "Yes," but procedural delays or party protections favor at least one holding on past May 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
$16,450 Vol.
NEU
$16,450 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Ja
NEU
$16,450 Vol.
NEU
$16,450 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales recently resigned from the House amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half of this market's conditions just days ago. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to uncertainty over remaining Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick and Cory Mills, both under House Ethics Committee scrutiny—Cherfilus-McCormick for 25 counts of financial misconduct including misusing $5 million in FEMA funds, and Mills for sexual misconduct claims—yet expulsion requires a two-thirds supermajority vote, historically rare outside bipartisan scandals. Her April 21 Ethics hearing could trigger a floor vote, while Mills faces GOP primary challengers in August but no imminent resolution; swift bipartisan ousters or resignations would boost "Yes," but procedural delays or party protections favor at least one holding on past May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volumen
$16,450Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales recently resigned from the House amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half of this market's conditions just days ago. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to uncertainty over remaining Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick and Cory Mills, both under House Ethics Committee scrutiny—Cherfilus-McCormick for 25 counts of financial misconduct including misusing $5 million in FEMA funds, and Mills for sexual misconduct claims—yet expulsion requires a two-thirds supermajority vote, historically rare outside bipartisan scandals. Her April 21 Ethics hearing could trigger a floor vote, while Mills faces GOP primary challengers in August but no imminent resolution; swift bipartisan ousters or resignations would boost "Yes," but procedural delays or party protections favor at least one holding on past May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,450Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales recently resigned from the House amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half of this market's conditions just days ago. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to uncertainty over remaining Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick and Cory Mills, both under House Ethics Committee scrutiny—Cherfilus-McCormick for 25 counts of financial misconduct including misusing $5 million in FEMA funds, and Mills for sexual misconduct claims—yet expulsion requires a two-thirds supermajority vote, historically rare outside bipartisan scandals. Her April 21 Ethics hearing could trigger a floor vote, while Mills faces GOP primary challengers in August but no imminent resolution; swift bipartisan ousters or resignations would boost "Yes," but procedural delays or party protections favor at least one holding on past May 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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