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icon for Mitch McConnell tritt vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?
Politik·Kongress

Mitch McConnell tritt vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?

icon for Mitch McConnell tritt vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?
Politik·Kongress

Mitch McConnell tritt vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?

Ja

17% Chance
Polymarket

$1,583,419 Vol.

Ja

17% Chance
Polymarket

$1,583,419 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.**Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, following his February 2025 announcement that he would not seek reelection.** Despite a prolonged absence since mid-June 2026 due to a fall, brief loss of consciousness, pneumonia, and complications from childhood polio, his office has confirmed ongoing recovery through physical therapy at home after discharge from rehabilitation in early August. Kentucky Republican lawmakers, including Rep. James Comer, have indicated staff expectations that McConnell will return when the Senate reconvenes around September 14, 2026. While Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear has publicly urged McConnell to demonstrate fitness to serve or resign, no formal pressure from Senate GOP leadership or McConnell himself has emerged to suggest an early departure. These factors, including the senator’s consistent public commitments and absence of triggering events like incapacity rulings or voluntary resignation, underpin the 83.5% implied probability that he will not step down before term’s end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Volumen
$1,583,419
Enddatum
3. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.**Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, following his February 2025 announcement that he would not seek reelection.** Despite a prolonged absence since mid-June 2026 due to a fall, brief loss of consciousness, pneumonia, and complications from childhood polio, his office has confirmed ongoing recovery through physical therapy at home after discharge from rehabilitation in early August. Kentucky Republican lawmakers, including Rep. James Comer, have indicated staff expectations that McConnell will return when the Senate reconvenes around September 14, 2026. While Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear has publicly urged McConnell to demonstrate fitness to serve or resign, no formal pressure from Senate GOP leadership or McConnell himself has emerged to suggest an early departure. These factors, including the senator’s consistent public commitments and absence of triggering events like incapacity rulings or voluntary resignation, underpin the 83.5% implied probability that he will not step down before term’s end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Volumen
$1,583,419
Enddatum
3. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

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„Mitch McConnell tritt vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Tritt Mitch McConnell vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit aus dem Senat zurück?" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 17¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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