Tennessee Republicans' May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into a seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that supported Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew following the map changes, converting the race to an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The new boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage in the November general election, consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-09 Wahlsieger
TN-09 Wahlsieger
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
81%
Demokratische Partei
20%
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,384 Vol.
81%
Demokratische Partei
$13,059 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into a seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that supported Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew following the map changes, converting the race to an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The new boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage in the November general election, consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,443Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into a seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that supported Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew following the map changes, converting the race to an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The new boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage in the November general election, consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,443Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee Republicans' May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into a seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that supported Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew following the map changes, converting the race to an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The new boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage in the November general election, consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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