Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Tennessee’s 9th congressional district by incorporating more suburban and exurban territory toward Nashville, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and a 2024 presidential margin of roughly Trump +21. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek re-election in the altered seat, converting the race into an open contest. Republican primary voters on August 6 selected Brent Taylor as nominee, while Democrats chose state representative Justin Pearson. Most independent rating firms now classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, a view reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. No late-cycle developments have yet altered that structural tilt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-09 Wahlsieger
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
84%
Demokratische Partei
16%
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
84%
Demokratische Partei
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Tennessee’s 9th congressional district by incorporating more suburban and exurban territory toward Nashville, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and a 2024 presidential margin of roughly Trump +21. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek re-election in the altered seat, converting the race into an open contest. Republican primary voters on August 6 selected Brent Taylor as nominee, while Democrats chose state representative Justin Pearson. Most independent rating firms now classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, a view reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. No late-cycle developments have yet altered that structural tilt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen