Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-09 Wahlsieger
TN-09 Wahlsieger
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
81%
Demokratische Partei
20%
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,384 Vol.
81%
Demokratische Partei
$13,059 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,443Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,443Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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