Trader consensus favors Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, 2026, with potential runoff June 7-8, due to his unified center-right coalition—Lega, Fratelli d'Italia, Forza Italia, UDC—positioning him as successor to outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro amid ongoing probes into the administration. Recent escalation on security, where Venturini proposed adding 200 local police agents to combat Mestre drug crises and urban decay, has bolstered his lead over Andrea Martella's 37.5%, whose broad center-left alliance (PD, AVS, M5S, +Europa) critiques past failures but faces turnout risks in a fragmented field. Centrist Michele Boldrin trails at 4.3% despite innovation pledges, reflecting limited coalition support. Key issues like overtourism, housing shortages, and lagoon protection loom large in the closing campaign.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, 2026, with potential runoff June 7-8, due to his unified center-right coalition—Lega, Fratelli d'Italia, Forza Italia, UDC—positioning him as successor to outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro amid ongoing probes into the administration. Recent escalation on security, where Venturini proposed adding 200 local police agents to combat Mestre drug crises and urban decay, has bolstered his lead over Andrea Martella's 37.5%, whose broad center-left alliance (PD, AVS, M5S, +Europa) critiques past failures but faces turnout risks in a fragmented field. Centrist Michele Boldrin trails at 4.3% despite innovation pledges, reflecting limited coalition support. Key issues like overtourism, housing shortages, and lagoon protection loom large in the closing campaign.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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