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icon for Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?
Politik·Gaza

Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

icon for Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?
Politik·Gaza

Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

Okt. 31

Dez. 31

Okt. 31

Dez. 31

Ja

7% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

7% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has centered on deepening existing Abraham Accords ties, such as Israel and Morocco upgrading missions to full embassies and advancing economic pacts by year-end, rather than securing new signatories. Speculation around potential additions like Kuwait centers on timelines of four to six months from mid-September, placing any formal accession after the October 31 cutoff. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile candidate, but normalization continues to hinge on unresolved Palestinian issues and linked U.S. nuclear cooperation, with no accelerated path evident in the coming weeks. Broader regional security discussions, including cooperation against Houthi threats, have not translated into rapid new accessions. The tight window and procedural requirements for formal agreements sustain trader consensus around the low likelihood of a new country joining before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.

For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,732
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has centered on deepening existing Abraham Accords ties, such as Israel and Morocco upgrading missions to full embassies and advancing economic pacts by year-end, rather than securing new signatories. Speculation around potential additions like Kuwait centers on timelines of four to six months from mid-September, placing any formal accession after the October 31 cutoff. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile candidate, but normalization continues to hinge on unresolved Palestinian issues and linked U.S. nuclear cooperation, with no accelerated path evident in the coming weeks. Broader regional security discussions, including cooperation against Houthi threats, have not translated into rapid new accessions. The tight window and procedural requirements for formal agreements sustain trader consensus around the low likelihood of a new country joining before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.

For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,732
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%
icon for Wird der Libanon Israel bis zum 31. Dezember anerkennen?

Wird der Libanon Israel bis zum 31. Dezember anerkennen?

10%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird bis zum 31. Oktober ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 6¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 6% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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