Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from the smallest beef herd in 75 years amid prolonged drought, elevated feed costs, and border closures on Mexican imports due to disease concerns, continue to underpin elevated ground beef prices. Retail ground beef averaged around $6.70 per pound in early 2026 data, with USDA projecting overall beef prices to rise 5.5 percent or more for the year as production contracts further. Strong consumer demand for affordable cuts like ground beef, supported by imports of lean trimmings, has offset some supply pressure but leaves markets sensitive to weather-driven pasture conditions, tariff effects on trade, and any shifts in slaughter rates. Herd stabilization may begin later in 2026, though meaningful expansion remains unlikely before 2028.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Hackfleisch im Jahr 2026 __ erreichen?
Wird Hackfleisch im Jahr 2026 __ erreichen?
$19,114 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
$7.000+
77%
8.000 $+
61%
$9.000+
51%
10.000$+
27%
$19,114 Vol.
$7.000+
$50 Vol.
77%
8.000 $+
$1,546 Vol.
61%
$9.000+
$22 Vol.
51%
10.000$+
$17,496 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from the smallest beef herd in 75 years amid prolonged drought, elevated feed costs, and border closures on Mexican imports due to disease concerns, continue to underpin elevated ground beef prices. Retail ground beef averaged around $6.70 per pound in early 2026 data, with USDA projecting overall beef prices to rise 5.5 percent or more for the year as production contracts further. Strong consumer demand for affordable cuts like ground beef, supported by imports of lean trimmings, has offset some supply pressure but leaves markets sensitive to weather-driven pasture conditions, tariff effects on trade, and any shifts in slaughter rates. Herd stabilization may begin later in 2026, though meaningful expansion remains unlikely before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,114Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from the smallest beef herd in 75 years amid prolonged drought, elevated feed costs, and border closures on Mexican imports due to disease concerns, continue to underpin elevated ground beef prices. Retail ground beef averaged around $6.70 per pound in early 2026 data, with USDA projecting overall beef prices to rise 5.5 percent or more for the year as production contracts further. Strong consumer demand for affordable cuts like ground beef, supported by imports of lean trimmings, has offset some supply pressure but leaves markets sensitive to weather-driven pasture conditions, tariff effects on trade, and any shifts in slaughter rates. Herd stabilization may begin later in 2026, though meaningful expansion remains unlikely before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$19,114Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from the smallest beef herd in 75 years amid prolonged drought, elevated feed costs, and border closures on Mexican imports due to disease concerns, continue to underpin elevated ground beef prices. Retail ground beef averaged around $6.70 per pound in early 2026 data, with USDA projecting overall beef prices to rise 5.5 percent or more for the year as production contracts further. Strong consumer demand for affordable cuts like ground beef, supported by imports of lean trimmings, has offset some supply pressure but leaves markets sensitive to weather-driven pasture conditions, tariff effects on trade, and any shifts in slaughter rates. Herd stabilization may begin later in 2026, though meaningful expansion remains unlikely before 2028.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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