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icon for Wird James Fishback einräumen, bis...?
Politik·USA

Wird James Fishback einräumen, bis...?

icon for Wird James Fishback einräumen, bis...?
Politik·USA

Wird James Fishback einräumen, bis...?

NEU
18. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$204 Vol.

Polymarket

18. August

$4 Vol.

57%

19. August

$200 Vol.

72%

20. August

$0 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other contenders in a crowded field. A July 2026 court ruling rejected a residency challenge from Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Polling and fundraising data indicate limited support outside niche online constituencies, with early voting already underway. Primary results will determine the nominee, and historical patterns in similar contests show trailing candidates often issue concession statements within hours or a day of clear outcomes. The market centers on whether Fishback issues such a statement by the specified deadline, with resolution hinging on public remarks or campaign announcements following vote tabulation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volumen
$204
Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other contenders in a crowded field. A July 2026 court ruling rejected a residency challenge from Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing votes for him to count. Polling and fundraising data indicate limited support outside niche online constituencies, with early voting already underway. Primary results will determine the nominee, and historical patterns in similar contests show trailing candidates often issue concession statements within hours or a day of clear outcomes. The market centers on whether Fishback issues such a statement by the specified deadline, with resolution hinging on public remarks or campaign announcements following vote tabulation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volumen
$204
Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.

Verwandte

icon for Wird James Fishback 10–15 % der Stimmen in der republikanischen Vorwahl für den Gouverneur von Florida erhalten?

Wird James Fishback 10–15 % der Stimmen in der republikanischen Vorwahl für den Gouverneur von Florida erhalten?

97%
Ja
icon for Wird Byron Donalds die republikanische Gouverneursvorwahl in Florida mit 20–25 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird Byron Donalds die republikanische Gouverneursvorwahl in Florida mit 20–25 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

67%
Ja
icon for Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Florida 2026 mit 0%-3% Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Florida 2026 mit 0%-3% Vorsprung gewinnen?

42%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird James Fishback einräumen, bis...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „19. August" mit 72%, gefolgt von „18. August" mit 57%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 72¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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